{
  "schema_version": "2026-05-24",
  "benchmark_program": "claude-code-token-reduction-research",
  "status": "repeated_benchmark_complete",
  "claim": "Three fresh baseline/optimized pairs are published for every benchmarked recommendation. Agent Analyzer guidance reduced estimated tokens, tool-output tokens, visible output, native Claude cost, and published API-rate estimated cost while preserving the quality gate. The paid plugin now recommends only the core workflow plus conditional reducers that worked, and removes telemetry-only or negative tools from token-saving advice.",
  "token_category_definitions": {
    "input_context_tokens": "Prompt text, project instructions, tool schemas, file reads, tool results, and prior conversation context sent back to the model.",
    "tool_output_tokens": "The subset of input/context tokens produced by shell, MCP, file, and search outputs.",
    "output_tokens": "Visible assistant text and tool-call JSON emitted by the model.",
    "reasoning_tokens": "Hidden model reasoning budget reported by some harnesses. Not directly reduced by telemetry or terse final prose unless measured.",
    "cached_input_tokens": "Reused context that may be billed or quota-weighted differently from fresh input.",
    "telemetry_only": "Usage visibility, cost accounting, statuslines, and dashboards. These do not directly reduce tokens."
  },
  "claude_version": "2.1.148 (Claude Code)",
  "model": "sonnet",
  "quality_gate": "Each published comparison required both baseline and optimized runs to complete the same task and pass go test ./...",
  "methodology": {
    "same_prompt": true,
    "same_starting_commit": true,
    "isolated_worktrees": true,
    "mode": "Claude Code -p",
    "measurement_tool": "Claude Analyzer",
    "privacy_boundary": "Only sanitized Agent Analyzer reports and aggregate comparison metrics are published. Raw Claude Code logs, raw prompts, secrets, private paths, and unknown private tool names are excluded."
  },
  "headline_results": {
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v2_mean_estimated_token_delta": -3204,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v2_mean_tool_output_delta": -2957,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_estimated_token_delta": -1764,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_tool_output_delta": -2298,
    "quiet_go_noisy_repo_estimated_token_delta": -3516,
    "rtk_explicit_noisy_repo_tool_output_delta": -1325,
    "grepai_path_constrained_noisy_repo_tool_output_delta": -4576,
    "claude_token_efficient_v2_estimated_token_delta": -1751,
    "codex_guided_v3_estimated_token_delta": -12544,
    "codex_guided_v3_tool_output_delta": -12612,
    "codex_guided_v3_uncached_plus_output_token_delta": 17949,
    "codex_guided_v3_reasoning_token_delta": 26,
    "caveman_claude_v3_output_token_delta": -355,
    "caveman_claude_v3_estimated_token_delta": 15014,
    "caveman_codex_v3_output_token_delta": -78,
    "caveman_codex_v3_reasoning_token_delta": 24,
    "caveman_codex_v3_uncached_plus_output_token_delta": 31905,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.000402,
    "codex_guided_v3_published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.0386813,
    "caveman_claude_v3_published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.0118644,
    "caveman_codex_v3_published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.04974865,
    "claude_context_published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.0906729,
    "context_mode_published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.0366897,
    "grepai_published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.0791034,
    "claude_token_efficient_published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.0056826,
    "RTK_published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.0046353,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_repeated_estimated_token_delta_mean": -12370.333333333334,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_repeated_tool_output_delta_mean": -12697.666666666666,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_repeated_native_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.04421946666666666,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_repeated_published_api_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.05920730000000001,
    "codex_guided_v3_repeated_estimated_token_delta_mean": -14520.333333333334,
    "codex_guided_v3_repeated_tool_output_delta_mean": -14526.666666666666,
    "codex_guided_v3_repeated_uncached_plus_output_delta_mean": -24368.666666666668,
    "codex_guided_v3_repeated_reasoning_delta_mean": -44.666666666666664,
    "codex_guided_v3_repeated_published_api_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.062392399999999994,
    "claude_context_repeated_estimated_token_delta_mean": 7327.0,
    "claude_context_repeated_tool_output_delta_mean": 4169.666666666667,
    "claude_context_repeated_published_api_cost_delta_mean_usd": 0.0580381,
    "semble_repeated_estimated_token_delta_mean": -16300.666666666666,
    "semble_repeated_tool_output_delta_mean": -16060.333333333334,
    "claude_rlm_discovery_estimated_token_delta_mean": 19476.666666666668,
    "claude_rlm_discovery_tool_output_delta_mean": 6020.333333333333,
    "claude_rlm_discovery_root_native_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.07532203333333334,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_repeated_published_api_cost_savings_percent": 23.986415315706576,
    "agent_analyzer_guided_v3_monthly_savings_on_5000_usd": 1199.3207657853288,
    "semble_repeated_published_api_cost_savings_percent": 41.46494678255211,
    "rtk_repeated_published_api_cost_savings_percent": 18.153839473492326,
    "context_mode_repeated_published_api_cost_savings_percent": 20.44835228575404,
    "grepai_repeated_published_api_cost_savings_percent": 14.513454764088776,
    "squeez_repeated_published_api_cost_savings_percent": 12.135861589457791
  },
  "recommendation_trials": [
    {
      "recommendation": "ccusage",
      "source": "https://github.com/ryoppippi/ccusage",
      "evidence_type": "visibility_validation",
      "primary_token_category": "telemetry_only",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "input_context_tokens",
        "tool_output_tokens",
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "not_applicable",
      "estimated_token_delta": null,
      "tool_output_token_delta": null,
      "cost_delta_usd": null,
      "observed_result": "Parsed local Claude Code usage JSON for independent accounting; not a task intervention.",
      "verdict": "telemetry",
      "replication_status": "telemetry_only"
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "claude-context",
      "source": "https://github.com/zilliztech/claude-context",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_indexed_mcp_limit3",
      "primary_token_category": "input_context_tokens_via_retrieval",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": 7327,
      "tool_output_token_delta": 4170,
      "cost_delta_usd": 0.048434,
      "turn_delta": 10,
      "verdict": "negative_as_used",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.058038,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "published_api_cost_note": "Delta repriced from Claude comparison token deltas at published Claude Sonnet 4.6 rates, assuming 1-hour cache-write pricing for cache_creation_input_tokens.",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-claude-context-limit3.json",
      "observed_result": "Repeated claude-context limit-3 MCP runs passed quality but increased estimated tokens, tool-output tokens, visible output tokens, native cost, and published-rate estimated cost on this fixture."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "context-mode",
      "source": "https://github.com/mksglu/context-mode",
      "evidence_type": "install_doctor_plus_controlled_ab",
      "primary_token_category": "tool_output_and_input_context_tokens",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": -12359,
      "tool_output_token_delta": -13257,
      "cost_delta_usd": -0.03639,
      "turn_delta": 8,
      "observed_result": "Repeated context-mode runs reduced estimated and tool-output tokens plus native/API-estimated cost, but visible output tokens were noisy and rose on average.",
      "verdict": "conditional_positive",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.052175,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "published_api_cost_note": "Delta repriced from Claude comparison token deltas at published Claude Sonnet 4.6 rates, assuming 1-hour cache-write pricing for cache_creation_input_tokens.",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-context-mode-batch.json"
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "grepai",
      "source": "https://github.com/yoanbernabeu/grepai",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_path_constrained_compact_search",
      "primary_token_category": "input_context_tokens_via_compact_retrieval",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": -14567,
      "tool_output_token_delta": -15571,
      "cost_delta_usd": -0.017598,
      "turn_delta": 10,
      "verdict": "conditional_positive",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.037657,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "published_api_cost_note": "Delta repriced from Claude comparison token deltas at published Claude Sonnet 4.6 rates, assuming 1-hour cache-write pricing for cache_creation_input_tokens.",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-grepai-path-constrained.json",
      "observed_result": "Repeated path-constrained grepai runs reduced estimated and tool-output tokens and cost, but visible output tokens rose on average."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "ccstatusline",
      "source": "https://github.com/sirmalloc/ccstatusline",
      "evidence_type": "visibility_validation",
      "primary_token_category": "telemetry_only",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "input_context_tokens",
        "tool_output_tokens",
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "not_applicable",
      "estimated_token_delta": null,
      "tool_output_token_delta": null,
      "cost_delta_usd": null,
      "observed_result": "Statusline telemetry is outside the task prompt path; no direct task token reduction claimed.",
      "verdict": "telemetry",
      "replication_status": "telemetry_only"
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "claude-token-efficient",
      "source": "https://github.com/drona23/claude-token-efficient",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_minimal_guidance",
      "primary_token_category": "output_tokens_with_input_context_overhead",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "tool_output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": -391,
      "tool_output_token_delta": -754,
      "cost_delta_usd": -0.003828,
      "turn_delta": -1,
      "verdict": "modest_conditional_positive",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.004208,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "published_api_cost_note": "Delta repriced from Claude comparison token deltas at published Claude Sonnet 4.6 rates, assuming 1-hour cache-write pricing for cache_creation_input_tokens.",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-claude-token-efficient.json",
      "observed_result": "Repeated minimal CLAUDE.md guidance produced small, noisy savings; useful as light verbosity hygiene, not as a major reducer."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Caveman",
      "source": "https://github.com/JuliusBrussee/caveman",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_claude_plugin_and_codex_skill_guidance",
      "primary_token_category": "output_tokens_only",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "input_context_tokens",
        "tool_output_tokens",
        "cached_input_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 Claude repeats and 3/3 Codex repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": 4355,
      "tool_output_token_delta": 4868,
      "cost_delta_usd": 0.009919,
      "observed_result": "Claude caveman reduced visible output but increased estimated/tool-output tokens and cost; Codex caveman reduced uncached-plus-output and reasoning tokens on average. Treat as harness-specific output pressure, not default plugin guidance.",
      "verdict": "mixed_harness_specific",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.009211,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "codex_uncached_plus_output_delta_mean": -4739,
      "codex_reasoning_delta_mean": -2,
      "codex_published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.033986,
      "aggregate_artifacts": [
        "reports/aggregate-caveman-claude.json",
        "reports/aggregate-caveman-codex.json"
      ]
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "RTK",
      "source": "https://github.com/rtk-ai/rtk",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_plus_direct_output_compression_smoke",
      "primary_token_category": "tool_output_and_input_context_tokens",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": -12446,
      "tool_output_token_delta": -12716,
      "cost_delta_usd": -0.031479,
      "turn_delta": -3,
      "observed_result": "Repeated explicit RTK guidance reduced estimated/tool-output tokens and cost on average; use explicit commands before global hooks.",
      "verdict": "conditional_positive",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.044316,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "published_api_cost_note": "Delta repriced from Claude comparison token deltas at published Claude Sonnet 4.6 rates, assuming 1-hour cache-write pricing for cache_creation_input_tokens.",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-rtk-explicit.json"
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Probe",
      "source": "https://github.com/probelabs/probe",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_bounded_ast_bm25_search",
      "primary_token_category": "input_context_tokens_via_compact_retrieval",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": 874,
      "tool_output_token_delta": -745,
      "cost_delta_usd": 0.038069,
      "turn_delta": 9,
      "observed_result": "Repeated Probe runs reduced tool-output slightly on average but increased estimated tokens, output tokens, native cost, and published-rate estimated cost.",
      "verdict": "negative_as_used",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": 0.03834,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-probe.json"
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Semble",
      "source": "https://github.com/MinishLab/semble",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_path_limited_code_search",
      "primary_token_category": "input_context_tokens_via_compact_retrieval",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": -16301,
      "tool_output_token_delta": -16060,
      "cost_delta_usd": -0.089147,
      "turn_delta": 6,
      "observed_result": "Repeated Semble runs reduced estimated tokens, tool-output tokens, visible output tokens, native cost, and published-rate estimated cost.",
      "verdict": "positive_on_fixture",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.114194,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-semble.json"
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Squeez",
      "source": "https://github.com/claudioemmanuel/squeez",
      "evidence_type": "controlled_ab_plus_direct_output_compression_smoke",
      "primary_token_category": "tool_output_and_input_context_tokens",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": -8471,
      "tool_output_token_delta": -8917,
      "cost_delta_usd": -0.014049,
      "turn_delta": 9,
      "observed_result": "Repeated Squeez guidance reduced estimated/tool-output tokens and cost on average, but Squeez conflicts with Spec Kitty workflows; keep this as historical evidence only.",
      "verdict": "removed_spec_kitty_conflict",
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": -0.028224,
      "published_api_cost_model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-squeez.json"
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "claude-rlm",
      "source": "https://github.com/Tenobrus/claude-rlm",
      "evidence_type": "repeated_ab_recursive_subagent_discovery",
      "primary_token_category": "high_context_recursive_decomposition",
      "does_not_directly_reduce": [
        "output_tokens",
        "reasoning_tokens"
      ],
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta": 19477,
      "tool_output_token_delta": 6020,
      "cost_delta_usd": -0.075322,
      "published_api_cost_delta_usd": null,
      "observed_result": "Repeated medium-context runs passed quality but increased estimated tokens, tool-output tokens, avoidable waste, and failed commands. Optimized runs used two Claude sessions per repeat, so root stdout cost is not a full cost surface.",
      "verdict": "negative_on_medium_context_fixture",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-claude-rlm-discovery.json"
    }
  ],
  "representative_trials": [
    {
      "id": "agent-analyzer-guided-v3-noisy",
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta_mean": -12370.333333333334,
      "tool_output_token_delta_mean": -12697.666666666666,
      "native_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.04421946666666666,
      "published_api_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.05920730000000001,
      "verdict": "positive",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-agent-analyzer-guided-v3.json"
    },
    {
      "id": "claude-context-limit3-v3-noisy",
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta_mean": 7327.0,
      "tool_output_token_delta_mean": 4169.666666666667,
      "native_cost_delta_mean_usd": 0.048434183333333346,
      "published_api_cost_delta_mean_usd": 0.0580381,
      "verdict": "negative_as_used",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-claude-context-limit3.json"
    },
    {
      "id": "semble-v3-noisy",
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta_mean": -16300.666666666666,
      "tool_output_token_delta_mean": -16060.333333333334,
      "native_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.08914713333333334,
      "published_api_cost_delta_mean_usd": -0.1141938,
      "verdict": "positive_on_fixture",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-semble.json"
    }
  ],
  "cross_harness_trials": [
    {
      "harness": "Claude Code -p",
      "intervention": "Generated Agent Analyzer plugin",
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta_mean": -12370.333333333334,
      "tool_output_token_delta_mean": -12697.666666666666,
      "native_signal": "total_cost_usd mean -0.044219; output tokens mean -503.7",
      "verdict": "positive",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-agent-analyzer-guided-v3.json"
    },
    {
      "harness": "Codex exec --json",
      "intervention": "Agent Analyzer text guidance",
      "quality": "passed in 3/3 repeats",
      "estimated_token_delta_mean": -14520.333333333334,
      "tool_output_token_delta_mean": -14526.666666666666,
      "native_signal": "uncached_plus_output_tokens mean -24368.7; reasoning tokens mean -44.7",
      "verdict": "positive_on_repeated_fixture",
      "replication_status": "repeated_ab",
      "aggregate_artifact": "reports/aggregate-codex-guided.json"
    }
  ],
  "recommendation_verdicts": [
    {
      "recommendation": "Agent Analyzer generated guidance",
      "verdict": "positive repeated",
      "product_action": "Keep as the core plugin behavior; it reduced estimated, tool-output, output, native cost, and published-rate cost in 3x runs."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "ccusage",
      "source": "https://github.com/ryoppippi/ccusage",
      "verdict": "measurement only",
      "product_action": "Keep as optional measurement only; do not include in the paid reducer pack or call it a direct saver."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "ccstatusline",
      "source": "https://github.com/sirmalloc/ccstatusline",
      "verdict": "visibility only",
      "product_action": "Keep as optional awareness only; do not include in the paid reducer pack or call it a direct saver."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "claude-context",
      "source": "https://github.com/zilliztech/claude-context",
      "verdict": "removed from default advice",
      "product_action": "Do not recommend for this workflow; repeated runs increased estimated tokens and published API-rate cost by 26.0%."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Context Mode",
      "source": "https://github.com/mksglu/context-mode",
      "verdict": "conditional repeated positive",
      "product_action": "Conditionally recommend for tool-output/input-context batching when matching bloat exists; repeated API-rate savings were 20.4%, but visible output rose on average."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "grepai",
      "source": "https://github.com/yoanbernabeu/grepai",
      "verdict": "conditional repeated positive",
      "product_action": "Conditionally recommend only with compact output, low result limits, and path filters; repeated API-rate savings were 14.5%."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "claude-token-efficient",
      "source": "https://github.com/drona23/claude-token-efficient",
      "verdict": "removed from default advice",
      "product_action": "Do not include in the default pack; repeated API-rate savings were only 1.8%, so treat it as manual verbosity hygiene if requested."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "RTK",
      "source": "https://github.com/rtk-ai/rtk",
      "verdict": "conditional repeated positive",
      "product_action": "Conditionally recommend explicit commands first; repeated API-rate savings were 18.2%, but global hooks require separate approval."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Probe",
      "source": "https://github.com/probelabs/probe",
      "verdict": "removed from default advice",
      "product_action": "Do not recommend as a reducer; repeated runs increased published API-rate cost by 16.6%."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Semble",
      "source": "https://github.com/MinishLab/semble",
      "verdict": "positive on this fixture",
      "product_action": "Conditionally recommend for bounded retrieval when repeated reads exist; repeated API-rate savings were 41.5%."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Squeez",
      "source": "https://github.com/claudioemmanuel/squeez",
      "verdict": "removed: Spec Kitty conflict",
      "product_action": "Do not recommend or emit in generated artifacts; repeated API-rate savings were 12.1%, but Squeez conflicts with Spec Kitty workflows."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "Caveman",
      "source": "https://github.com/JuliusBrussee/caveman",
      "verdict": "removed from default Claude advice",
      "product_action": "Keep out of default Claude plugin guidance; Codex benefited here, but Claude Code got more expensive."
    },
    {
      "recommendation": "claude-rlm",
      "source": "https://github.com/Tenobrus/claude-rlm",
      "verdict": "removed from default advice",
      "product_action": "Do not recommend from this benchmark; it added analyzer-estimated tokens and tool output, and root stdout cost omits sub-agent usage."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts": {
    "representative_baseline_report": "/proof/reports/baseline-report.json",
    "representative_optimized_report": "/proof/reports/optimized-report.json",
    "representative_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-aa-guided-v3.json",
    "probe_candidate_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-probe-run30-v3.json",
    "semble_candidate_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-semble-run31-v3.json",
    "squeez_candidate_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-squeez-run32-v3.json",
    "codex_candidate_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-codex-run33-v3.json",
    "cross_harness_codex_claude_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-cross-harness-codex-claude-v3.json",
    "caveman_claude_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-caveman-claude-run36-v3.json",
    "caveman_codex_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-caveman-codex-run37-v3.json",
    "caveman_cross_harness_comparison": "/proof/reports/comparison-caveman-cross-harness-v3.json",
    "external_benchmark_comparison_page": "/proof/benchmark-comparison.html",
    "external_benchmark_research_note": "/docs/benchmarks/external-token-benchmark-comparison.md"
  },
  "published_api_pricing": {
    "claude_sonnet_4_6": {
      "model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "source": "https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing",
      "as_of": "2026-05-24",
      "rates_usd_per_mtok": {
        "input_tokens": 3.0,
        "cache_creation_input_tokens_1h": 6.0,
        "cache_read_input_tokens": 0.3,
        "output_tokens": 15.0
      },
      "cache_creation_assumption": "Comparison JSON exposes cache_creation_input_tokens without the 5m/1h split; raw benchmark stdout for these runs used ephemeral_1h cache writes, so this estimate prices cache creation at the 1-hour cache-write rate."
    },
    "gpt_5_3_codex": {
      "model_assumption": "gpt-5.3-codex",
      "source": "https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/pricing",
      "token_category_source": "https://help.openai.com/en/articles/20001106-codex-rate-card",
      "as_of": "2026-05-24",
      "rates_usd_per_mtok": {
        "input_tokens": 1.75,
        "cached_input_tokens": 0.175,
        "output_tokens": 14.0,
        "reasoning_output_tokens": 14.0
      },
      "reasoning_pricing_note": "OpenAI reports reasoning tokens as usage metadata used for billing/tracking. Because the Codex JSON exposes reasoning_output_tokens separately, this estimate bills them at the output-token rate. If a future exporter includes reasoning inside output_tokens, do not add it twice."
    }
  },
  "published_api_cost_estimates": {
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      "provider": "anthropic",
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      "optimized_usd": 0.1888227,
      "delta_usd": 0.000402,
      "delta_breakdown": {
        "input_usd": 3e-06,
        "cache_creation_1h_usd": -0.009318,
        "cache_read_usd": 0.007977,
        "output_usd": 0.00174,
        "total_usd": 0.000402
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      "note": "Published API-rate estimate for exposed Claude Sonnet token categories. Claude Code reported total_cost_usd can differ because Claude Code may route or account for additional internal model usage."
    },
    "caveman_claude_v3": {
      "provider": "anthropic",
      "model": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
      "baseline_usd": 0.3079476,
      "optimized_usd": 0.2960832,
      "delta_usd": -0.0118644,
      "delta_breakdown": {
        "input_usd": 9e-06,
        "cache_creation_1h_usd": -0.027816,
        "cache_read_usd": 0.0212676,
        "output_usd": -0.005325,
        "total_usd": -0.0118644
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      "note": "Published API-rate estimate for exposed Claude Sonnet token categories. Claude Code reported total_cost_usd can differ because Claude Code may route or account for additional internal model usage."
    },
    "codex_guided_v3": {
      "provider": "openai",
      "model": "gpt-5.3-codex",
      "baseline_usd": 0.14492625,
      "optimized_usd": 0.18360755,
      "delta_usd": 0.0386813,
      "delta_breakdown": {
        "uncached_input_usd": 0.0311185,
        "cached_input_usd": 0.0048608,
        "visible_output_usd": 0.002338,
        "reasoning_output_usd": 0.000364,
        "total_usd": 0.0386813,
        "visible_output_only_total_usd": 0.0383173
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      "note": "API-rate estimate under the gpt-5.3-codex Standard pricing assumption. The saved Codex harness did not record an explicit model name."
    },
    "caveman_codex_v3": {
      "provider": "openai",
      "model": "gpt-5.3-codex",
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      "optimized_usd": 0.2046583,
      "delta_usd": 0.04974865,
      "delta_breakdown": {
        "uncached_input_usd": 0.05597025,
        "cached_input_usd": -0.0054656,
        "visible_output_usd": -0.001092,
        "reasoning_output_usd": 0.000336,
        "total_usd": 0.04974865,
        "visible_output_only_total_usd": 0.04941265
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      "note": "API-rate estimate under the gpt-5.3-codex Standard pricing assumption. The saved Codex harness did not record an explicit model name."
    },
    "probe_v3": {
      "provider": "anthropic",
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      "optimized_usd": 0.2689899,
      "delta_usd": 0.0934884,
      "delta_breakdown": {
        "input_usd": 3e-06,
        "cache_creation_1h_usd": 0.031416,
        "cache_read_usd": 0.0325794,
        "output_usd": 0.02949,
        "total_usd": 0.0934884
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      "note": "Published API-rate estimate for exposed Claude Sonnet token categories. Claude Code reported total_cost_usd can differ because Claude Code may route or account for additional internal model usage."
    },
    "semble_v3": {
      "provider": "anthropic",
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      "optimized_usd": 0.2128899,
      "delta_usd": 0.0571941,
      "delta_breakdown": {
        "input_usd": 6e-06,
        "cache_creation_1h_usd": 0.009588,
        "cache_read_usd": 0.0329001,
        "output_usd": 0.0147,
        "total_usd": 0.0571941
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      "note": "Published API-rate estimate for exposed Claude Sonnet token categories. Claude Code reported total_cost_usd can differ because Claude Code may route or account for additional internal model usage."
    },
    "squeez_v3": {
      "provider": "anthropic",
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      "baseline_usd": 0.1750917,
      "optimized_usd": 0.2375214,
      "delta_usd": 0.0624297,
      "delta_breakdown": {
        "input_usd": 1.8e-05,
        "cache_creation_1h_usd": -0.004788,
        "cache_read_usd": 0.0585747,
        "output_usd": 0.008625,
        "total_usd": 0.0624297
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      "note": "Published API-rate estimate for exposed Claude Sonnet token categories. Claude Code reported total_cost_usd can differ because Claude Code may route or account for additional internal model usage."
    }
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  "replication_policy": {
    "minimum_repeats_for_strong_claim": 3,
    "fresh_context_required": true,
    "runner": "scripts/benchmark-repeat.sh",
    "status_note": "All named tool recommendations in the proof suite now have at least three fresh baseline/optimized pairs with passing quality gates. Strong claims still remain scoped to the tested fixture, harness, and token category.",
    "published_aggregate_count": 13,
    "diagnostic_aggregate_count": 1
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      "published_api_cost_savings_percent": -3.890181251784393,
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        "basis": "Scaled linearly from the suite's optimized-vs-baseline published API-rate delta: savings = comparable baseline spend * savings_percent."
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    "caveman-codex": {
      "artifact": "reports/aggregate-caveman-codex.json",
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      "estimated_token_delta_mean": -9210.333333333334,
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      "published_api_cost_savings_percent": 18.25562449081907,
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        "savings_percent": 18.25562449081907,
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    "claude-context-limit3": {
      "artifact": "reports/aggregate-claude-context-limit3.json",
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    "claude-token-efficient": {
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    "examples": {
      "weekly_100_usd": 23.986415315706576,
      "weekly_500_usd": 119.93207657853289,
      "monthly_2000_usd": 479.7283063141315,
      "monthly_5000_usd": 1199.3207657853288,
      "monthly_10000_usd": 2398.6415315706577
    },
    "basis": "savings = comparable baseline spend * 0.23986415315706576; based on published Claude Sonnet 4.6 API-rate estimate for three fresh noisy-repo pairs."
  },
  "recommendation_policy": {
    "default_pack": [
      "agent-analyzer-workflow",
      "output-budgeted-commands",
      "retrieval-hygiene",
      "session-hygiene",
      "retry-breaker"
    ],
    "conditional_reducers": [
      "semble",
      "context-mode",
      "rtk-explicit",
      "grepai-path-constrained"
    ],
    "telemetry_only": [
      "ccusage",
      "ccstatusline",
      "claude-code-usage-monitor",
      "claude-code-usage-tracker"
    ],
    "removed_from_default_reducer_advice": [
      "claude-context",
      "probe",
      "caveman-claude",
      "claude-rlm",
      "claude-token-efficient",
      "squeez"
    ],
    "rule": "Recommend a third-party reducer only when it reduced the target token/cost category in repeated runs and the user report contains the matching waste pattern."
  },
  "primary_data": {
    "directory": "docs/benchmarks/primary-data",
    "manifest": "docs/benchmarks/primary-data/index.json",
    "privacy_boundary": "Sanitized aggregate/comparison recordings are committed; raw logs, raw transcript stdout/stderr, plugin zips, and copied worktrees are excluded."
  },
  "diagnostic_suite_artifacts": {
    "spec-kitty-agent-analyzer-guided": {
      "artifact": "reports/aggregate-spec-kitty-agent-analyzer-guided.json",
      "quality_passed": false,
      "completed_repeats": 1,
      "required_repeats": 1,
      "estimated_token_delta_mean": -76237.0,
      "tool_output_token_delta_mean": -79663.0,
      "native_cost_delta_mean": -0.2766874999999998,
      "codex_uncached_plus_output_delta_mean": null,
      "codex_reasoning_delta_mean": null,
      "published_api_cost_delta_mean": -0.4115565,
      "published_api_cost_savings_percent": 40.45839010493161,
      "published_api_cost_scaled_examples": {
        "savings_rate": 0.4045839010493161,
        "savings_percent": 40.45839010493161,
        "weekly_100_usd": 40.45839010493161,
        "weekly_500_usd": 202.29195052465803,
        "monthly_2000_usd": 809.1678020986321,
        "monthly_5000_usd": 2022.9195052465805,
        "monthly_10000_usd": 4045.839010493161,
        "basis": "Scaled linearly from the suite's optimized-vs-baseline published API-rate delta: savings = comparable baseline spend * savings_percent."
      }
    }
  }
}
